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Centeno, Governing Committee of the European Central Bank: Fortunately, yesterday's decision of the European Central Bank was unanimously adopted.The organization looks forward to the semiconductor industry in 2025: the AI ​ ​ replacement tide leads the growth, and the semiconductor ETF(512480) may usher in new development opportunities. On December 13, the semiconductor ETF(512480) closed down by 1.38%, with a turnover of 1.671 billion yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed, and Zhaoyi Innovation leads the rise. In terms of decline, SMIC led the decline. CICC said that after the boom in 2024, it is expected that the inventory of the semiconductor industry will stabilize and the relationship between supply and demand will be more balanced in 2025. With the gradual landing of AI cloud and end demand, domestic semiconductor elements will usher in new development opportunities. In addition, the AI-changing tide has a pulling effect on the downstream demand of the semiconductor design sector, which is expected to accelerate the growth of the semiconductor design sector in 2025 and inject new vitality into the industry.Chen Guo, China Securities: The 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in all directions, and the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Chen Guo, chief strategy officer of China Securities, said that the meeting had seven highlights, including clarifying the growth target and fiscal and monetary policy measures, expanding domestic demand in all directions as the top priority of the policy, focusing on "AI+" in science and technology, focusing on implementation of reform measures, paying attention to coping with external shocks in opening up, strengthening the expression of real estate policies, and increasing efforts to improve people's livelihood. Chen Guo said that further RRR cuts and interest rate cuts from the end of 2024 to 2025 are worth looking forward to, and the easing of the liquidity environment has become a market consensus. However, this does not mean that liquidity is rampant, because the growth of money supply in the scale of social financing still continues the requirement of matching the expected target of the overall price level of economic growth. Chen Guo believes that the 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in an all-round way, and the strength and direction of the policy are in line with expectations. With the support of policy expectations and liquidity, it is expected that the market will continue to show the characteristics of volatility. From the perspective of investment strategy, Chen Guo suggested focusing on non-bank finance, real estate chain, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, building materials, steel, social services, catering chain and other sectors. In terms of theme, it is suggested to pay attention to investment opportunities such as "duality" and "two innovations", supply-side optimization, new quality productivity, market value management of state-owned enterprises and CSI A500 index.

Fat Donglai is working out stricter measures to solve the problem of purchasing, including real-name purchase and regular quantitative purchase system. On December 13th, Yu Donglai issued a document saying: Fat Donglai is working out stricter and more effective measures! In the future, including real-name purchase and regular quantitative purchase system! Discuss and formulate relevant systems to control purchasing behavior and lift the membership of permanent fat east!Keshun Co., Ltd. and others set up a new building materials company in Jiangmen. The enterprise search APP shows that Jiangmen Yinzhou Lake Keshun Building Materials Co., Ltd. was established recently, with Feng Bihua as the legal representative and a registered capital of 1 million yuan. Its business scope includes: sales of photovoltaic equipment and components; Manufacturing of eco-environmental materials; Water pollution prevention and control services, etc. Enterprise investigation shows that the company is jointly held by Keshun and others.Tony Dellier, leader of the French Green Party: Choosing Bayrou as the new French Prime Minister is a "bad drama".

On the afternoon of December 13th, the Central District Court of Seoul, South Korea, examined the necessity of the arrest of Zhao Zhihao, director of the police department, and Zhao Zhihao, director of the police department suspected of participating in the emergency martial law incident. On the 11th, the special investigation team for emergency martial law of the National Investigation Department of the South Korean Police made an emergency arrest on the suspicion of "civil unrest" against the police chiefs of Zhao Zhihao and Seoul, and applied to the court for their arrest warrants on the 12th. Later, Kim Fung-sik said that he would give up attending the review on the necessity of arrest. On 13th, Zhao Zhihao didn't answer a reporter's question after arriving at Seoul Central District Court, but his defense lawyer said that Zhao Zhihao "opposed martial law and wanted to protect democracy, not the object of punishment". The police believe that Zhao Zhihao and Jin Fengzhi met with Yin Xiyue and participated in the martial law plan before the martial law was issued by South Korean President Yin Xiyue, and assisted Yin Xiyue in enforcing martial law by sending police to control the National Assembly. Zhao Zhihao is also suspected of sending police to the Central Electoral Affairs Commission to help enforce martial law. The Seoul Central District Court will make a decision on whether to issue an arrest warrant for them late at night on the 13th or early on the 14th. (CCTV News)From January to October, the total output of lithium batteries in China increased by 16% year-on-year. According to the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, China's lithium-ion battery industry continued to grow from January to October 2024. According to the announcement of lithium battery industry norms, enterprise information and industry associations, the total output of lithium batteries in China from January to October was 890GWh, up 16% year-on-year. According to the data of the National Bureau of Statistics, the profit of China's lithium battery manufacturing industry increased by 39.4% from January to October. In the battery sector, the output of energy storage lithium batteries exceeded 200GWh from January to October. The loading capacity of power lithium batteries for new energy vehicles is about 405GWh. From January to October, the total export of lithium batteries in China reached 350.2 billion yuan, down 9.2% year-on-year, and the decline was 3.3 percentage points narrower than that in January-June.Li Dongsheng said that low-price competition has no way out, and it will only get involved. On December 11th, at TCL Global Innovation Conference, founder Li Dongsheng said that in the current market competition, low-price competition has no way out, and it will only get involved in endless "involution". To surpass its competitors, it is necessary to strive for more breakthroughs in high-end products. He Jun, vice president of TCL Industry, talked about the current development of industrial software enterprises in China in a subsequent interview. He also said that from the aspects of financing environment and market support for enterprises, China is not an environment where good software enterprises can be born at present, but in the long run, industrial software may make a breakthrough in China software, and this time will not be very fast, and it will not be seen for three or five years.